Experts talk a lot of junk. The more famous they are, the more hooey they talk. The media tarts in a study by Phillip E Tetlock made worse predictions of future events than his control group of dart-throwing chimps. The famous study hasn’t done much to humble commentators. They come to prominence by talking sense on issues they understand.
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Parnell Palme McGuinness is a Director of Thought Broker – @parnellpalme.
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