Has the jobs market cooled enough to cut interest rates?
Is the Bank of England about to cut interest rates? Today’s labour market statistics might just give them the room…
Britain’s worklessness disaster
Whilst Jeremy Hunt’s cut to National Insurance may grab the headlines, the real story of today’s Budget was hidden in…
Too many people in Britain aren’t working
Britain’s worklessness crisis is getting worse. This morning the ONS released figures showing that 1.3 million are on unemployment. But…
Full extent of sick-note Britain revealed
We already know that Britain has a massive sick-note problem but we did not, until today, know just how large.…
Has Britain’s jobs market bounced back?
The jobs market has turned a corner. Vacancies have fallen again to 934,000, down 49,000 in the last three months…
There’s another dodgy data scandal brewing
The government is reeling from the Post Office Horizon scandal. ‘Lessons must be learnt’, goes the cry around Westminster. But…
Have we really lost hundreds of thousands of workers since Covid?
The jobs market appears to be slowing down, but can we trust the figures? Vacancies have fallen for the longest…
Net migration hits 672,000 – with 2022 figures revised up
Has migration to the UK peaked? Net migration in the year to June hit 672,000, down from 745,000 in 2022.…
Was Eat Out to Help Out really behind the second wave?
Did Eat Out to Help Out increase Covid? It’s a conclusion the inquiry and lockdown’s cheerleaders seem keen to push.…
Why was an erroneous graph used to justify the second lockdown?
Two stories are emerging from the Covid Inquiry: one that it wants to tell and one that it does not.…
The Covid Inquiry is exposing lockdown’s dodgy models
Did we lock down on a false premise? Yesterday was Ben Warner’s turn at the Covid Inquiry. He was an…
We’re still recovering from lockdown’s impact on children
Some 140,000 children missed more than half of the school days they should have attended this spring. Research by the…
The taxman’s dodgy data
Ten years ago, HMRC unveiled what was billed as ‘the biggest change’ to the tax system since PAYE began in…
The Covid inquiry asked the wrong questions of Neil Ferguson
SPI-M-O are at the Covid inquiry this week. They’re the shadowy group of mathematical modellers who contributed – more than…
It’s official: we don’t know how many people are unemployed
For perhaps the first time in its history, the Office for National Statistics does not know how many employed, unemployed…
In defence of drunken freshers’ weeks
Students need a drunken freshers’ week
Public sector pay pushes wage growth to record high
Public sector pay growth has jumped 9.6 per cent, the fastest rate since current records began 22 years ago. Private…
Seven graphs that show the challenge for the Tories at the election
The Tories have avoided total wipeout in last night’s triple by-election. Rishi Sunak dodged the embarrassment of becoming the first…
Sunak’s debt target is slipping out of reach
Threadneedle Street will have all the economic limelight this week as the Bank of England sets interest rates tomorrow. With…
Record pay deals will worry the Bank of England
Wages are slowly closing the gap with inflation, up 7.2 per cent in the year to April versus inflation of…
Britain’s economy is struggling with so many off sick
One of the UK’s biggest economic problems is having so many people out of work – and the slowest return…
Ten yardsticks to judge Humza Yousaf by as first minister
Humza Yousaf is the new leader of the SNP and in the coming days will be sworn in at the…
Did Scotland’s minimum alcohol pricing work? A look at the data
As Nicola Sturgeon prepares to exit stage right, she’s been reeling off her greatest hits. Things she thinks she’s done…