In the 1992 British election, Labour under Neil Kinnock looked big winners. The Conservative party and prime minister John Major looked down for the count. During the election campaign, most opinion polls showed Labour and the Tories neck and neck, or Labour in front. Final polls predicted a Labour majority, even exit polls indicated a hung parliament

But not only were the Tories and Major re-elected comfortably, their share of the vote was seven points ahead of Labour’s and only a little below Margaret Thatcher’s in 1987.