Flat White

Rowan Dean: I predicted all along that Morrison would win

20 May 2019

7:41 AM

20 May 2019

7:41 AM

The Coalition has been returned to government. Bill Shorten lost the “unlosable” election and Scott Morrison won – funnily enough, just as I and others at The Spectator Australia said he would. It’s tempting to gloat – so I will.

The majority of the mainstream media have for months predicted either a Labor landslide, or a comfortable Labor win, with only a handful of pundits brave enough to suggest that the Liberals could or might win – but I repeatedly and consistently said on Sky News for the last six months that the Liberals would win and I never deviated from that prediction. None of the polls or prominent experts picked it, although of course writers at The Spectator Australia such as David Flint and John Ruddick most certainly did.

(While I’m skiting, I may as well mention that I also predicted Donald Trump would win, that Leave would win Brexit, that Netanyahu would win and that Gladys Berejiklian would win in New South Wales.)

The Spectator Australia also predicted that Malcolm Turnbull would be the worst prime minister in Liberal history and repeatedly offered the opinion that he had to be removed if the Liberals were to survive as a conservative centre-right party and government.

When Turnbull resigned, called a spill and was replaced by Scott Morrison, this magazine and many of its writers strongly supported the decision and predicted that it would lead to a Liberal victory at this election. Indeed, our TV commercial specifically promised that if you subscribed to The Spectator Australia your friends would think you were clairvoyant.

The accurate analysis many of us, including the so-called Del-Cons, made was that once the poisonous leftism of Turnbull had been exorcised from the Liberal party only then would it soar again. Which is what occurred this weekend.

Laughably, a veritable army of commentators, pundits, doyens of the ABC on massive taxpayer-funded salaries and other red-faced experts spent election night blithering and blathering that nobody foresaw this result. Which is nonsense. We did.

The more important question is why those of us at this magazine and on this website who foresaw the result were correct.

For my part, quite possibly the fact that I am one of Australia’s more open global warming sceptics gives me an insight into how normal, real people – away from the latte-sipping, wealthy SUV-driving trendy inner-city types – actually think. This was indeed an election dominated by climate change. Labor put forward the most radical left-wing climate polices at the very time when, in various places around the world, voters who have lived with these policies are rejecting them. Common sense Australians have now rejected them too, recognising that climate change policies would financially damage them severely whilst achieving no change whatsoever to the planet’s temperatures, as was admitted by Australia’s Chief Scientist Alan Finkel. Australians have woken up to the fact that climate change is simply socialism in drag.

This was the climate change election, and climate change lost. This was the socialism versus capitalism election, and socialism lost. This was the identity politics versus traditional values election, and identity politics lost. This was the political correctness versus common sense election, and political correctness lost. This was the luvvies versus the tradies and small business people election, and the luvvies lost.

Take note those of you in the virtue-signalling business world who sneer at people because of their religious beliefs, their love of Australia, their traditional family and conservative values. If you pander to the Left and allow your business to be hostage to left wing activism, you lose. You lose market share. You lose profit. You lose customers. And now, as we have seen you lose votes.

Congratulations to Peter Dutton, Craig Kelly, Josh Frydenberg, Andrew Hastie and all the other winners, and of course to the back-room team led by Andrew Hirst. My happiness for their victories is only tinged with my sadness that Tony Abbott, a great man, lost his seat. The vitriol and hatred, including an alleged stabbing, vandalism and intimidation, was out of control and a stain on his well-funded opponents. But as always, Tony took one for the team. His concession speech was magnificent. Tony Abbott has much more to contribute to our national life, I guarantee.

Above all, heartiest congratulations to Scott Morrison. This is his victory. The election revealed the character of the two contenders. We finally got to know Scott Morrison. He did not miss a beat. Warm, self-confidant but not arrogant, humble, a master of detail, a man of conviction who could speak tirelessly and convincingly without resorting to bureaucrats’ jargon, Turnbull-style waffle or Labor-style talking points and spin. I was deeply impressed and so, clearly, was Australia.

This weekend the hard-working people of mainstream conservative Australia – the quiet Australians, as Scott Morrison called them – spoke loudly and clearly. And Australia was the winner

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