Nicola Sturgeon is expected to quit as First Minister of Scotland at a press conference later this morning. She has come under increasing pressure in recent weeks over the case of convicted rapist Isla Bryson, but also over her government’s handling of the NHS crisis and striking workers.

This is an unsurprising surprise: Sturgeon had not seemed confident that she would be the SNP leader by the time the next election – or de facto independence referendum as she wanted it to be.