Let’s start with this prediction. If the Voice referendum gets up, gets a ‘yes’, then Peter Dutton is finished. The base will demand he go and rightfully so. Now I don’t think the referendum can succeed unless Dutton comes out in favour. But should he do that (or even if I’m wrong and it gets up after very lukewarm and half-hearted opposition from Dutton) then the Liberal party will be in the wilderness for a decade or more.