Headlines this morning are bragging that Queensland ‘should be an easy win for the LNP’, which reminds me of that well-trod saying, never count your chickens before they hatch.

Nothing has been decided in Queensland, and Australian voters have a habit of re-electing governments who abuse, impoverish, and mock them. Why voters do this remains complicated, but it would be foolish to pretend that ‘merit’ is the basis for victory.