Will the Syrian Civil War create another ISIS?
There are unintended consequences, and then there are unintended consequences. What we are seeing in Syria, as Aleppo and Hama…
The winds of change are blowing in Iran
The mood music from Tehran regarding Donald Trump’s election victory was a mixture of ‘don’t care,’ and ‘very much do…
Regime change in Iran is a bad idea
In 2012, as the Islamic Republic showed signs of buckling under the weight of US and EU sanctions, Senator John…
War in Lebanon could end up creating Isis 3.0
As Israeli troops make incursions into southern Lebanon, in the wake of recent successful aerial and covert campaigns against Hezbollah, Tel Aviv appears ascendant. Iran, by…
Why a major war in the Middle East feels inevitable
Sun Tzu, the Chinese military strategist writing roughly 2,500 years ago, said that ‘Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to…
Why the death of Ebrahim Raisi both matters, and doesn’t
Not only does the death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, in a helicopter crash in the fog and mountains in northern…
Iran is dangerous – but rational
We’ve been here before. Iran has been here before. In 2020 its most senior IRGC commander, Qassem Soleimani, was killed…
