World
Ten states to watch on election night
Donald Trump’s 2016 election victory stunned the world. It also uprooted the electoral map: Trump won narrow victories in states…
My final election prediction: Trump 305 to Biden 233
I’m doubling down. In 2016, against virtually all of the polling data and sophisticated analysis, I predicted Donald Trump would…
The red wave is inbound
So, the party of peace and love is planing to riot in New York, Washington and other places where their…
Lame-duck Trump has plenty of time to cause trouble
Making political predictions can be about as foolhardy as walking into a Las Vegas casino and predicting success at the…
The good and bad news for Trump about the US economy
With voting day finally here, what can the state of the US economy tell us about tonight’s result? While the United…
Macron has exposed the cowardice of Boris's response to terror
Sometimes what a politician leaves unsaid tells us more than what he does say. Take the different reactions to the wave…
The Vienna attack is a bitter blow for Sebastian Kurz
With Austria’s latest Covid lockdown due to begin at midnight, Viennese citizens were enjoying a final night of freedom. And…
Democrats get last-minute election jitters
The Biden campaign is far from confident heading into Tuesday’s election and their behavior proves it. It’s not uncommon for…
Johnson lays out the lockdown exit strategy
Boris Johnson’s statement to the House of Commons this afternoon was a reminder of how much more difficult this second…
France is under attack because of its culture, not its cartoons
Let us imagine for a moment that Emmanuel Macron takes the advice of many in the Anglophone world and bans…
Why Joe Biden will win tomorrow
Joe Biden is going to win. I have been wrong before. I will be wrong again. And maybe I’m wrong…
Why the Democrats are still haunted by Florida
As we get closer to the American election, Democrats in swing states like Pennsylvania and Arizona are sounding notes of…
Kamala Harris vs James Madison
If Joe Biden loses the presidential election tomorrow, he will not have any shortage of people to blame. The first…
Lockdown isn't working
Our approach to the Covid-19 pandemic has been a scientific folly. While some mortality is unavoidable during a pandemic, the…
What if this election had been COVID-free?
Imagine there’s no COVID. It’s not that easy even if you try. The pandemic fogs up everything now. But it’s…
No, the United States isn't on the verge of civil war
As the US enters the final straight of what has been — to put it mildly — a highly unusual…
Who’s really being silenced on campus?
The never-ending social justice messaging from our college and university presidents and their legions of diversity, equity and inclusion officers…
Boris's 'Captain Hindsight' attack backfires
Boris Johnson may be able to explain his U-turn on imposing a second national lockdown on England in policy terms,…
Backsliding on a lockdown end-date has begun already
Will England’s lockdown end on 2 December? Even before this morning’s media round there was good reason to suspect it…
Instead of lockdown, let's create a National Shielding Service
So what would you do? That was the question that cropped up on my Twitter timeline after I’d sent out…
The Pope really doesn’t like Republicans
Last week we learned that Pope Francis has torn up the Catholic Church’s teaching that same-sex civil partnerships are gravely…
Will Tory MPs back Boris's lockdown plan?
Boris Johnson did not want to give a Downing Street press conference this evening. The Prime Minister had hoped to present his…
Why have No. 10’s Covid forecasts changed so much?
We have just seen how much the Prime Minister’s view of the virus has changed, and how quickly. Just ten days ago,…
Why England is going back into lockdown
I’m afraid no responsible Prime Minister can ignore the message of those figures. When I told you two weeks ago…
Why a new lockdown is so difficult for Boris Johnson
Boris Johnson had set his face against an England-wide lockdown. He rejected the idea when Sage proposed it back in…