Sage admits its models were 'at variance to reality'. But why?

5 March 2022 6:00 pm

The Sage committee was set up as a pool of experts on tap to advise government. During the pandemic, it mutated…

On Sage’s Covid models

20 February 2022 6:00 am

In the confusion that has arisen from the demonstrable inability of a certain type of mathematical model to predict the…

Why Sage got Omicron wrong

23 January 2022 7:00 pm

Given that lockdown was very nearly ordered on the advice of Sage last month, it’s worth keeping an eye on…

Sage memo makes the case for lockdown

23 December 2021 4:55 am

On Monday, Covid restrictions were rejected after the cabinet debated the issue robustly for the first time since the pandemic…

Five lockdown questions the cabinet must ask

21 December 2021 12:15 am

The cabinet will meet this afternoon, with more restrictions and even a new lockdown on the agenda. But have ministers…

My Twitter conversation with the chairman of the Sage Covid modelling committee

19 December 2021 7:03 am

The latest Sage papers have been published , envisaging anything from 200 to 6,000 deaths a day from Omicron depending on how…

Putting the commie in committee

7 August 2021 9:00 am

Last month an epidemiologist called Professor Michael Baker described the UK government’s decision to free its people from Covid restrictions…

A volte face over what caused the pandemic needs explaining

31 July 2021 9:00 am

Sir Jeremy Farrar, the head of the Wellcome Trust, writes that ‘the last year has been an eye-opener for me.…

The long winter – why Covid restrictions could last until April

31 October 2020 9:00 am

The ‘worst-case scenario’ for Covid